Perhaps a light at the end of the tunnel?
8-17-24. 3:20pm. This Update is brought to you by Jack Garrett and Phase II Fertilizer. Phase II, Inc. was founded in 1994 with a mission to Help Family Farmers & Ranchers Thrive. You can reach Jack at 361-275-4841.
I'm starting to feel good about our rain chances for the last week on the month. As I have talked about over the past couple of days, a trough will form over the eastern half of the US this week, producing an upper-level low on the southern side of the trough. That low will drift SW into the Gulf, then head west into Texas by next weekend. This will favor the coastal plains and coast for rain, but as it moves west, we should see an uptick in rain for south and south-central Texas. At the end of the month, the latest GFS model run thinks a tropical wave could move in from the Gulf, enhancing our rain odds again.
Even the CPC is raising our rain odds on its latest 8-14 day outlook.
Hang in there!
Mark
This Update is brought to you by Jack Garrett and Phase II Fertilizer. Phase II, Inc. was founded in 1994 with a mission to Help Family Farmers & Ranchers Thrive. You can reach Jack at 361-275-4841.
The latest 7day rainfall forecast from the NWS.
An upper-level low will move into south Texas over the weekend, increasing our rain odds
Some sort of tropical low or wave is now being forecast to move into Texas around the end of the month.
We have slightly better than 50/50 odds for above normal rainfall from August 25-31.
Click images to see them larger. How much rain these models are forecasting through the 27th.
How much rain the latest GFS model is forecasting through September 1st.
