A tiny chance for rain tomorrow afternoon and evening.

8-8-24. 4pm. This Update is brought to you by Jack Garrett and Phase II Fertilizer. Phase II, Inc. was founded in 1994 with a mission to Help Family Farmers & Ranchers Thrive. You can reach Jack at 361-275-4841.

Dear NHC...pretty funny joke posting that there is now a 40% chance for a tropical system to form in the Atlantic in the next 7 days within hours after I said that there was nothing brewing in the Atlantic! Unfortunately, if this system does turn into a tropical storm, most models are sending it NE, thanks to our wonderful friend, The Hell High!

A cool front will take a dive into Texas tomorrow, giving south-central Texas a slight chance for some scattered storms tomorrow afternoon and evening. The front gets blown up by the high pressure by Sunday, then it's back to hot and dry weather for at least 7-10 more days.

On a different note, the latest ENSO report came out today and La Niña is not in effect, despite earlier predictions. As of right now, we are still in a neutral pattern, which may explain why the Eastern Pacific is busier with storms than is normally the case under La Niña.

Here is the latest update from the CPC: Synopsis: ENSO-neutral is expected to continue for the next several months, with La Niña favored to emerge during September-November (66% chance) and persist through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2024-25 (74% chance during November-January).

The latest drought update also came out today…no surprise, it’s pretty much unchanged over the past week.